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Qual 122016 Archimedes Division
Red121
99936.9
131842.1
598723.5
Blue118
263743.6
338925.9
174742.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412550150200121118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#28
42.10.8
42.2→43.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
blue by 1.4
2637
#21
43.61.1
42.2→41.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
Second
999
#14
36.90.8
36.6→37.4
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 5.2
1747
#5
42.11.1
41.8→40.7
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
Third
5987
#62
23.51.1
25.3→26.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 2.4
3389
#63
25.91.1
34.8→33.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsEarned30%Capture oddsMissed