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Red102
493127.1
562432.2
154044.5
Blue95
167136.9
125734.7
176846.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131149010011012013014010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#33
44.50.6
46.846.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
blue by 1.7
1768
#20
46.20.9
43.042.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
5624
#31
32.20.6
33.232.6
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 4.7
1671
#39
36.90.9
34.533.5
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Third
4931
#22
27.10.7
31.230.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.7
blue by 7.5
1257
#10
34.70.9
31.830.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
43%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed