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Red85
476128.7
162931.9
313525.3
Blue133
353442.5
10736.9
403942.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113305010015020085133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#52
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 10.5
42.50.7
42.142.8
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End12.3
Second
4761
#58
28.70.1
28.828.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
blue by 13.8
4039
#30
42.50.7
42.943.7
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
Third
3135
#43
25.30.1
25.425.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
blue by 11.5
107
#51
36.90.7
37.037.7
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed49%Capture oddsEarned