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Red123
316626.7
154044.5
263743.6
Blue90
83933.7
4536.8
584224.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124955015020012390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#33
44.50.2
45.345.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
red by 7.7
45
#7
36.80.4
37.236.8
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
Second
2637
#21
43.60.2
44.143.9
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
red by 9.8
839
#42
33.70.4
34.233.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Third
26.70.2
26.826.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 1.8
5842
#34
24.90.4
25.324.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsMissed