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Red104
174742.1
562432.2
587622.2
Blue119
541023.3
603528.6
410348.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100104406080120140160104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.1
43.443.5
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
blue by 6.8
48.90.9
50.251.1
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
Second
5624
#31
32.20.1
32.132.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 3.6
6035
#13
28.60.9
27.728.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End4.7
Third
5876
#66
22.20.1
22.222.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 1.1
5410
#60
23.30.9
22.423.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed