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Qual 1252016 Archimedes Division
Red112
360235.8
310234.4
131039.4
Blue119
18040.1
20743.1
321137.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131286080100120140160180200112119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#11
39.40.0
41.5→41.5
Auto12.1
Teleop18.1
End9.2
blue by 3.8
207
#44
43.10.2
43.8→43.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End11.3
Second
3602
#47
35.80.0
35.8→35.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
blue by 4.3
180
#24
40.10.2
40.2→40.0
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Third
3102
#37
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
blue by 3.4
3211
#23
37.80.2
38.0→37.8
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed