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Red81
233840.6
459021.3
603226.9
Blue97
505043.3
316626.7
313525.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91906070801001108197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#35
40.60.3
41.441.1
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
blue by 2.7
5050
#27
43.30.5
39.640.1
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
Second
6032
#56
26.90.4
24.424.0
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
red by 0.2
26.70.5
24.424.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
4590
#65
21.30.4
20.219.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 4.1
3135
#43
25.30.5
25.926.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned