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Red97
4536.8
502427.0
20743.1
Blue87
120829.7
198651.3
603528.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112110901001201309787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#44
43.11.4
41.940.4
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End11.3
blue by 8.2
1986
#16
51.31.7
53.451.7
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
Second
45
#7
36.81.4
37.736.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
red by 7.1
1208
#61
29.71.7
29.227.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
5024
#46
27.01.4
28.927.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.2
blue by 1.6
6035
#13
28.61.8
24.222.3
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed