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Red79
592632.6
83933.7
453422.9
Blue90
258633.2
360235.8
482826.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86980501502007990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#42
33.70.7
33.632.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
blue by 2.1
3602
#47
35.80.2
32.232.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
Second
5926
#59
32.60.7
30.529.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
blue by 0.6
2586
#15
33.20.2
36.336.0
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End4.9
Third
4534
#54
22.90.7
20.820.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 3.2
4828
#45
26.10.2
24.624.4
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned