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Qual 182016 Archimedes Division
Red133
288133.4
410348.9
139131.7
Blue98
162931.9
540437.4
598723.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11599608014016018013398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4103
#6
48.90.4
49.6→49.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
red by 11.5
5404
#74
37.40.4
38.6→38.2
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
2881
#57
33.40.4
29.8→29.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
red by 1.5
1629
#52
31.90.4
33.8→33.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
1391
#19
31.70.4
29.7→29.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
red by 8.2
5987
#62
23.50.5
26.3→25.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed