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Qual 202016 Archimedes Division
Red95
23631.3
608230.0
584224.9
Blue100
150156.9
174742.1
493127.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721395010015020095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#38
31.31.0
29.5→30.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 25.7
1501
#1
56.92.0
54.2→52.1
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
Second
6082
#69
30.01.0
30.4→31.4
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.6
blue by 12.2
1747
#5
42.12.0
40.7→38.7
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
Third
5842
#34
24.91.0
20.1→21.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 2.3
4931
#22
27.12.2
30.4→28.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsMissed