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Red124
450825.7
400346.0
131039.4
Blue110
131842.1
192332.8
384733.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910990100120130124110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.2
42.844.1
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 3.9
1318
#28
42.10.3
43.043.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
1310
#11
39.41.2
40.041.2
Auto12.1
Teleop18.1
End9.2
red by 5.4
3847
#32
33.90.3
29.429.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
4508
#40
25.71.2
22.723.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
blue by 7.1
1923
#36
32.80.3
33.834.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned46%Capture oddsEarned