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Red101
18040.1
338925.9
587622.2
Blue77
363029.1
352720.5
167136.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048605015010177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#24
40.10.2
39.539.7
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 3.2
1671
#39
36.91.3
33.532.2
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
3389
#63
25.90.2
33.733.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 3.3
3630
#68
29.11.3
32.030.7
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End5.0
Third
5876
#66
22.20.2
25.325.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
3527
#64
20.51.4
20.419.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed