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Red70
192332.8
459021.3
310234.4
Blue117
584224.9
162931.9
418337.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909505015020070117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#37
34.41.2
34.633.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
blue by 3.1
4183
#29
37.61.3
37.438.7
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
1923
#36
32.81.2
34.132.8
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
red by 0.9
1629
#52
31.91.3
33.434.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
4590
#65
21.31.4
19.818.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 3.6
5842
#34
24.91.3
21.122.4
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned