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Red116
263743.6
40133.2
176846.2
Blue136
400346.0
410348.9
491137.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813550100150200116136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#20
46.20.1
42.142.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
blue by 2.7
48.90.5
49.249.6
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
Second
2637
#21
43.60.1
40.140.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
blue by 2.4
46.00.5
44.144.6
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
Third
401
#49
33.20.1
34.934.9
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 4.0
4911
#18
37.20.5
35.836.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed61%Capture oddsEarned