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Qual 352016 Archimedes Division
Red141
4536.8
150156.9
206437.7
Blue133
540138.0
167136.9
258633.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410550150200141133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#1
56.90.7
52.1→52.8
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
red by 18.9
5401
#50
38.01.8
37.7→39.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
2064
#4
37.70.7
37.3→37.9
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
red by 0.8
1671
#39
36.91.8
32.2→34.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Third
45
#7
36.80.7
36.2→36.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
red by 3.6
2586
#15
33.21.8
36.0→37.8
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsEarned