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Red137
403942.5
540138.0
316626.7
Blue108
98025.9
192332.8
20743.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11699406080140160137108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#30
42.51.8
46.248.0
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
blue by 0.7
207
#44
43.10.3
42.542.8
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End11.3
Second
5401
#50
38.01.8
39.541.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
red by 5.2
1923
#36
32.80.3
32.833.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Third
26.71.8
24.826.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 0.8
980
#70
25.90.3
23.123.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsMissed