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Red128
288133.4
174742.1
18040.1
Blue115
154044.5
505043.3
132531.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105129406080120140160180128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.5
39.139.6
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
blue by 2.4
1540
#33
44.51.2
47.646.5
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
Second
180
#24
40.10.5
37.337.8
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
blue by 3.2
5050
#27
43.31.2
41.140.0
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
Third
2881
#57DQ
33.40.5
29.329.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
red by 1.8
1325
#41
31.61.2
33.532.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed72%Capture oddsMissed