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Red108
167136.9
139131.7
40133.2
Blue103
360235.8
353323.0
197321.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106350100150200108103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#39
36.90.1
34.133.9
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 1.1
3602
#47
35.82.0
32.434.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
Second
401
#49
33.20.1
34.934.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
red by 10.2
3533
#71
23.02.2
17.920.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Third
1391
#19
31.70.1
30.830.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
red by 10.4
1973
#67
21.32.0
17.319.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed