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Red98
176846.2
587838.1
607528.6
Blue124
10736.9
540138.0
131039.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061325015020025098124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#20
46.20.6
43.643.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
red by 6.9
1310
#11
39.40.4
40.340.0
Auto12.1
Teleop18.1
End9.2
Second
5878
#17
38.10.6
33.833.3
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End6.1
red by 0.1
5401
#50
38.00.4
40.339.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Third
6075
#55
28.60.6
29.428.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End5.2
blue by 8.2
107
#51
36.90.4
43.943.5
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsMissed