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Red47
505043.3
98025.9
476128.7
Blue132
40133.2
4536.8
592632.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041035070809011012013047132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#27
43.33.6
43.239.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 6.5
45
#7
36.81.8
35.937.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
Second
4761
#58
28.73.6
29.926.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
blue by 4.5
401
#49
33.21.8
35.937.7
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
980
#70
25.93.6
27.223.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
blue by 6.7
5926
#59
32.61.8
28.830.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed