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Red87
132531.6
125734.7
352720.5
Blue94
491137.2
603226.9
412530.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909070801001108794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#10
34.70.1
31.731.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
blue by 2.5
4911
#18
37.20.1
35.035.0
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Second
1325
#41
31.60.1
33.533.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 1.3
4125
#48
30.30.1
30.430.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.3
End5.6
Third
3527
#64
20.50.1
20.320.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 6.4
6032
#56
26.90.1
24.524.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed