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Qual 82016 Archimedes Division
Red104
120829.7
410348.9
384733.9
Blue118
258633.2
584224.9
316626.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11973050100150200104118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4103
#6
48.90.3
49.9→49.6
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
red by 15.7
2586
#15
33.21.0
35.2→36.3
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End4.9
Second
3847
#32
33.90.3
29.7→29.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 7.2
3166
#3
26.71.0
23.4→24.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
1208
#61
29.70.3
29.6→29.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 4.8
5842
#34
24.91.0
19.1→20.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed