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Red115
162931.9
233840.6
412530.3
Blue108
174742.1
608230.0
154044.5
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312250150200115108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#35
40.60.1
41.641.8
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
blue by 3.9
1540
#33
44.50.9
46.545.6
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
Second
1629
#52
31.90.1
34.334.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 10.2
42.10.9
39.638.8
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
Third
4125
#48
30.30.1
27.227.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.3
End5.6
red by 0.3
6082
#69
30.00.9
29.728.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed75%Capture oddsMissed