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Red96
83933.7
132531.6
607528.6
Blue122
313525.3
206437.7
192332.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989970809011012013096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#42
33.70.1
34.034.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
blue by 3.9
37.70.7
37.738.4
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Second
1325
#41
31.60.1
32.432.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
blue by 1.2
1923
#36
32.80.7
33.133.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Third
6075
#55
28.60.1
28.928.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End5.2
red by 3.3
3135
#43
25.30.7
25.526.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned37%Capture oddsEarned