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Red130
400346.0
198651.3
453422.9
Blue95
309839.9
541721.0
584224.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124825010015013095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#16
51.31.0
52.053.0
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 11.4
3098
#53
39.90.6
42.342.9
Auto9.6
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Second
46.01.0
42.643.6
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 21.1
5842
#34
24.90.6
22.122.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
4534
#54
22.91.0
19.920.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End4.3
red by 1.9
5417
#75
21.00.6
21.121.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed