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Red115
120829.7
482826.1
10736.9
Blue75
540437.4
459021.3
493127.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938505015011575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#51
36.91.7
39.541.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
blue by 0.5
5404
#74
37.40.6
38.537.9
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
1208
#61
29.71.7
26.928.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 2.6
4931
#22
27.10.6
27.426.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
4828
#45
26.11.7
22.824.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
red by 4.8
4590
#65
21.30.6
17.717.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed