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Red94
40133.2
603528.6
393232.2
Blue127
603226.9
176846.2
310234.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310002004006008001,00094127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#49
33.20.1
34.834.6
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 13.0
1768
#20
46.21.4
41.142.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
3932
#12
32.20.1
31.331.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
blue by 2.3
3102
#37
34.41.4
31.032.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
Third
6035
#13
28.60.1
25.125.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End4.7
red by 1.7
6032
#56
26.91.4
23.925.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned