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Red67
352720.5
598723.5
587622.2
Blue110
384733.9
353323.0
587838.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728805010015067110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#62
23.50.7
25.524.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 14.6
5878
#17
38.11.1
33.434.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End6.1
Second
5876
#66
22.20.7
26.525.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 11.7
3847
#32
33.91.1
29.430.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
3527
#64
20.50.7
20.619.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 2.5
3533
#71
23.01.1
20.221.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed