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Red113
476128.7
49837.1
167136.9
Blue139
316626.7
131842.1
456450.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91133050150200113139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#72
37.10.9
34.335.2
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
blue by 13.5
50.60.4
53.553.9
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
1671
#39
36.90.9
33.934.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
blue by 5.2
1318
#28
42.10.4
43.644.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Third
4761
#58
28.70.9
26.827.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
red by 2.0
26.70.4
26.526.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed50%Capture oddsEarned