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Red73
258633.2
607528.6
338925.9
Blue67
197321.3
585820.4
162931.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10569204060801201401607367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#15
33.21.9
37.435.4
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End4.9
red by 1.3
1629
#52
31.90.4
34.434.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
6075
#55
28.61.9
28.927.0
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End5.2
red by 7.4
1973
#67
21.30.4
19.419.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
Third
3389
#63
25.91.9
30.528.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 5.5
5858
#26
20.40.4
18.718.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed