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Red112
154044.5
353442.5
120829.7
Blue86
40133.2
418337.6
450825.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123985015020011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#33
44.50.6
45.645.0
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
red by 7.0
4183
#29
37.60.9
39.038.1
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
42.50.6
41.440.8
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End12.3
red by 9.2
401
#49
33.20.9
34.633.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
1208
#61
29.70.6
28.628.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 4.0
4508
#40
25.70.9
25.424.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed