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Red80
540138.0
321137.8
587622.2
Blue108
393232.2
493127.1
125734.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115895010015080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#50
38.01.9
42.440.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
red by 3.4
1257
#10
34.70.5
32.032.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Second
3211
#23
37.81.9
40.138.2
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
red by 5.7
3932
#12
32.20.5
31.131.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Third
5876
#66
22.21.9
25.823.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 4.9
4931
#22
27.10.5
26.927.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned