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Red116
131039.4
352720.5
603528.6
Blue112
23631.3
309839.9
592632.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511350100150200116112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#11
39.42.0
41.943.8
Auto12.1
Teleop18.1
End9.2
blue by 0.6
3098
#53
39.90.1
42.943.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Second
6035
#13
28.62.0
25.026.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End4.7
blue by 4.1
5926
#59
32.60.1
31.731.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
Third
3527
#64
20.52.0
19.921.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 10.7
236
#38
31.30.1
31.431.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed