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Red104
316626.7
491137.2
608230.0
Blue87
131842.1
541721.0
540437.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310905015020025010487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#18
37.20.1
37.337.3
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
blue by 4.9
1318
#28
42.11.1
44.042.9
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
6082
#69
30.00.1
28.928.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.6
blue by 7.4
5404
#74
37.41.1
37.936.8
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Third
26.70.1
26.927.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 5.7
5417
#75
21.01.1
21.720.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsMissed