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Red101
167136.9
384733.9
288133.4
Blue96
98025.9
542223.0
198651.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009994969810210410196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#39
36.90.1
34.834.7
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
blue by 14.4
1986
#16
51.30.1
53.053.0
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
Second
3847
#32
33.90.1
30.630.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 8.0
980
#70
25.90.1
23.923.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Third
2881
#57
33.40.1
31.531.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
red by 10.4
5422
#73
23.00.1
20.120.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed