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Red76
338925.9
592632.6
313525.3
Blue96
562432.2
450825.7
393232.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88924060801001207696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#59
32.60.7
31.731.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
red by 0.4
5624
#31
32.20.5
32.933.4
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Second
3389
#63
25.90.7
28.627.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 6.3
3932
#12
32.20.5
31.732.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Third
3135
#43
25.30.7
25.624.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
blue by 0.3
4508
#40
25.70.5
24.525.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsEarned