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Red123
162931.9
456450.6
309839.9
Blue133
233840.6
125734.7
451931.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14296050200123133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.2
54.653.4
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
red by 10.0
2338
#35
40.62.2
39.141.3
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
Second
3098
#53
39.91.2
43.041.7
Auto9.6
Teleop24.3
End6.0
red by 5.3
1257
#10
34.72.2
32.534.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
1629
#52
31.91.2
34.032.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
red by 0.1
4519
#25
31.82.2
28.630.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
50%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned