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Red116
418337.6
541721.0
176846.2
Blue84
206437.7
352720.5
502427.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079005015020011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#20
46.21.0
43.044.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
red by 8.6
37.70.4
40.039.6
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Second
4183
#29
37.61.0
38.139.0
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
red by 10.5
5024
#46
27.00.4
28.027.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Third
5417
#75
21.01.0
20.621.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End3.6
red by 0.5
3527
#64
20.50.4
21.821.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed