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Red126
541023.3
49837.1
132531.6
Blue123
403942.5
167136.9
83933.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84121050100150200126123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#72
37.11.3
35.236.5
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
blue by 5.3
4039
#30
42.50.7
45.346.1
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
Second
1325
#41
31.61.3
32.834.1
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
blue by 5.3
1671
#39
36.90.7
34.735.5
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Third
5410
#60
23.31.3
19.220.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 10.4
839
#42
33.70.7
31.832.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned43%Capture oddsEarned