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Red109
197321.3
412530.3
263743.6
Blue123
120829.7
18040.1
98025.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899220406080100120140160109123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
43.61.1
41.642.7
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
red by 3.4
180
#24
40.11.3
37.238.4
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
4125
#48
30.31.1
27.829.0
Auto9.4
Teleop15.3
End5.6
red by 0.6
1208
#61
29.71.3
28.029.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
1973
#67
21.31.1
17.718.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
blue by 4.7
980
#70
25.91.3
23.825.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed