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Red120
192332.8
410348.9
608230.0
Blue109
99936.9
360235.8
505043.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711680100140160120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.9
50.449.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
red by 5.6
5050
#27
43.30.3
40.540.2
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
Second
1923
#36
32.80.9
34.533.6
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
blue by 4.1
999
#14
36.90.3
37.136.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Third
6082
#69
30.00.9
28.928.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.6
blue by 5.8
3602
#47
35.80.3
35.735.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
69%Capture oddsMissed82%Capture oddsEarned