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Red109
418337.6
309839.9
540437.4
Blue139
263743.6
607528.6
167136.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123105406080140160180200109139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#53
39.90.5
41.741.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.3
End6.0
blue by 3.6
2637
#21
43.62.3
42.745.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
Second
4183
#29
37.60.5
39.038.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End4.7
red by 0.7
1671
#39
36.92.3
35.537.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Third
5404
#74
37.40.5
36.135.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 8.8
6075
#55
28.62.3
26.328.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned