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Red116
154044.5
360235.8
352720.5
Blue132
393232.2
541023.3
150156.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051058090100110120130116132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#33
44.50.3
44.144.4
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
blue by 12.4
56.91.2
51.252.4
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
Second
3602
#47
35.80.3
35.435.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End7.5
red by 3.6
3932
#12
32.21.2
32.133.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Third
3527
#64
20.50.3
21.421.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 2.8
5410
#60
23.31.2
20.421.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed