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Red119
608230.0
384733.9
49837.1
Blue130
453422.9
176846.2
18040.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96108050150200119130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#72
37.11.6
36.538.0
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End3.9
blue by 9.1
1768
#20
46.21.8
44.045.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
Second
3847
#32
33.91.6
30.732.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
blue by 6.2
180
#24
40.11.8
38.440.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Third
6082
#69
30.01.6
28.029.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.6
red by 7.1
4534
#54
22.91.8
20.722.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned