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Red105
450825.7
10736.9
410348.9
Blue98
233840.6
132531.6
4536.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511610010511012012513010598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.5
49.448.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.8
End9.7
red by 8.3
2338
#35
40.61.0
41.340.3
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
Second
107
#51
36.90.5
37.937.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Level
45
#7
36.81.0
37.536.5
Auto9.5
Teleop23.2
End4.2
Third
4508
#40
25.70.5
25.024.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
blue by 5.9
1325
#41
31.61.0
34.133.1
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsMissed