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Red90
83933.7
23631.3
338925.9
Blue85
603226.9
353323.0
542223.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016102040801201401609085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#42
33.70.1
32.632.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
red by 6.8
6032
#56
26.91.3
25.626.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Second
236
#38
31.30.1
31.731.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
red by 8.2
5422
#73
23.01.3
19.020.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End3.9
Third
3389
#63
25.90.1
27.927.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 2.9
3533
#71
23.01.3
21.122.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
63%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed