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Red97
482826.1
197321.3
502427.0
Blue87
192332.8
476128.7
412530.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69960204060801201401609787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#46
27.00.4
27.628.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.2
blue by 5.8
1923
#36
32.80.2
33.633.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Second
4828
#45
26.10.4
24.124.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 4.2
4125
#48
30.30.2
29.028.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.3
End5.6
Third
1973
#67
21.30.4
18.819.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
blue by 7.4
4761
#58
28.70.2
27.127.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsMissed