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Qual 962016 Archimedes Division
Red136
174742.1
310234.4
587838.1
Blue120
592632.6
456450.6
120829.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111186080100140160180136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#5
42.11.8
41.5→43.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.8
End5.5
blue by 8.5
4564
#8
50.60.2
53.4→53.1
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
5878
#17
38.11.8
34.3→36.2
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End6.1
red by 5.5
5926
#59
32.60.2
31.1→30.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End8.1
Third
3102
#37
34.41.8
32.6→34.5
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
red by 4.7
1208
#61
29.70.2
29.3→29.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed