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Qual 102016 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red73
53817.1
393744.2
457620.3
Blue69
504525.0
238823.7
93223.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695402040801001201401607369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#3
44.21.0
29.7→30.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 19.2
5045
#9
25.01.6
17.2→18.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.5
Second
4576
#39
20.31.0
17.2→18.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
blue by 3.4
2388
#28
23.71.6
19.2→20.8
Auto2.6
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Third
538
#36
17.11.0
17.5→18.5
Auto7.7
Teleop6.7
End2.7
blue by 6.1
932
#26
23.21.6
18.1→19.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed